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So, electoral reform then
Or "Electoral Change" as the BBC have apparently been instructed to refer to it ("Reform" is allegedly too "positive").
My view, for what its worth, is that the current system has to be reformed. Under it, the future direction of the country is determined by 150 or so "marginal" seats, as the other 500 rarely if ever change hands. And both Thatcher and Blair's "landslide" victories were achieved by getting around 1/3 of the popular vote.
Alternative Vote is, as Nick Clegg put it, a "miserable little compromise" but is still better than the current system.
We already have more proportional voting systems in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, and for European elections.
It also seems to me that those campaigning in favour of the status quo don't really have any arguments - the posters I've seen are of a soldier with the message "he needs better body armour not electoral change" (which is a short term economic argument for not doing something now, not a reasoned argument against the principle) and of Nick Clegg with the tag line that "he might get in again" (which is a bit like saying "Don't give to Comic Relief cos it means Davina McCall will appear on the telly again")
anyway, what do the Massive think?
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I think we should have AV+
but a move to AV would be a decent start.
What I dislike most about the current posturing (it's too feeble to be called campaigning) is the claim that we the electorate are too stupid to understand AV and it makes everything so darned complicated. I can't work out if this sums up what certain MPs think about their constituents or wish about them.
Most of all, I fear that Mr. Cameregg won't learn from Mr. Blair's expressed regret at having been too cautious about House of Lords reform and fudge this one, too. The HoL reforms quite rightly tried to move away from entitlement to election but ended up with a hodge podge of heriditary, appointed and nominated peers and is far worse that it was 20 years ago! In my book, we should be looking at:
Around 450 MPs.
Constituencies of broadly an equal number of voters.
AV+
Fixed 5 year Parliaments.
No MP to serve more than 5 terms.
No PM to serve more than 10 years.
Get rid of unelected individuals or Peers serving in any kind of Ministerial role: Ministers should be MPs and accountable to the electorate.
Oh, and an entirely elected Upper Chamber with a revised and clear definition of the power of the Upper Chamber to change or reject legislation sent to it for scrutiny.
Oh, and also: no deployment of British Armed forces outside our own borders unless ratified in advance by both chambers.
A word on "broadly equal number of voters" per constituency
For a lot of the UK that would absolutely fine, but when it comes to parts of Wales, the proper north of England (above the Humber) and virtually all of Scotland for example (barring the central belt) then you would end up with stupidly big land areas being represented by one person ...
"I give way to the Rt Hon Member for Shetland. and Orkney. And Caithness and Sutherland. And the Western Isles... on the matter of his taxpayer-funded dirigible for visiting constituents..."
edit: your 450 MPs thing would also cut Scottish repesentatives at Westminster to maybe 37 - which would be strictly proportional in your schema ...
It's good to talk
and I agree with some of your points, and not others.
I cannot believe that the HoL is worse now when there are only 90 or so hereditary peers, than when there were hundreds. We are at least closer to being a democracy.
Fixed terms may work in some countries, but they lead to ever lengthening campaigns, and mean that governments without a popular mandate can linger in power. I think it is much better that we can have an election when circumstances dictate, as well as when the ruling party decides.
MPs serving 5 terms - not sure why. It may perversely make the chamber older - who would want to get elected at 30 knowing that they would need a job at 55?
PM tenure - only 9 PMs have served longer than 10 years anyhow, it is just that the only 2 of them in the 20th century were recent (Thatcher and Blair). Cameron might manage it, but it would still be an anomoly.
Agree on the Upper chamber
Peers as ministers? Why deprive the government of talent? The majority of MPs are lawyers, and only a handfull (and I mean 5 or 6) have a scientific background. Why not draft in the Astronomer Royal (or Brian Cox or whoever) to advise on what they know about. Ministers are accountable to the crown not the electorate. It is common in other countris.
Don't forget that Iraq was ratified in advance. Libya was not, but are you really suggesting that in an international crisis we should wait to recall parliament from summer recess? Rarely do I agree with William Hague (in fact this might be the first time) but I think we can only say that parliament should be consulted not that it must.
Paul - I don't think we're a million miles apart.
On the HoL,it depends what you mean by "better." I don't think you can say it's better simply because there are fewer heriditary peers, especially since most of them still unelected and come from being nominated by the government of the day. I think you should look at results and outcomes: the old HoL was far more bloody minded and prepared to confront the Government. The current mish mash of political appointees isn't. If we're to have a proper 2nd chamber that really does scrutinise legislation and keep the government in line, it needs to be elected and not - as at the moment - rigged by the government of the day creating a cohort of pliant peers.
Ministers: I fully agree that talent should be drafted in and used, but not in Misisterial positions. Use them as advisers or put them on specific projects. But Ministers are responsible for public money and public policy: therefore, they should be elected.
On permission to deploy forces, note that I said abroad. Sure, there should be discretion if there's a "clear and present danger" (as they say in the US) but I don't think we should deploy our forces a la Libya unless there's political approval. At the moment, the Government can effectively circumvent Parliament by going the UN route. It seems bizarre to complain about Europe making many of our rules, not Parliament, and then go to the UN for permission to do something Parliament has no say in.
Boring old agreement on verge of breaking out...
With the HoL, it is the hereditary principle that I object to. Regardless of whether they do a good job or not. Like you I would prefer an elected chamber. But I would rather have my government being scrutinised by the mates of the current politicans than the descendents of the the mates of the ruling elite during the Napoleanic wars (or whenever).
Otherwise, like you said not too far apart.
I wish
I wish I could give a whole galaxy of stars, I am with you on every single point Mark.
Excellent proposition.
Electoral reform?
I missed them the first time round. What was their best album?
The first one
Ratified In Advance. The second one was a coke addled mess.
Coke Addled Mess?
TMFTL I believe.
Bring it on!
AV does not go far enough and I'd love to see the current arrangement completely shaken up, it's an anachronism that should have been sorted out years ago.
There are, as you point out, no convincing arguments in favour of retaining the current system, unless you happen to be an MP in one of the two main parties.
I'm nervous at the prospect of the referendum, worrying that this might turn out to be our one crack at it, but hopeful that voters will be sufficiently disillusioned by the actions of the present incumbents as to want change. I really hope that this turns out to be a genuine opportunity for change.
And oh yeah, the 'three more from them later' thing, surely it's time to move on?!
It's my understanding that most PR systems
remove the close link between the MP and the consituents they serve.
I'd argue against any systems that mean I don't vote directly for the MP that represents me. I care more about choosing my MP than I care about the party that forms the government.
But under AV
you still will vote directly for your local MP. It's just that he or she will require 50%+1 of the total votes to win, as opposed to the current system where it's possible for a candidate to win with as little as 25% of the popular vote.
Indeed
We have Single Transferable Vote for council elections in Scotland. Instead of a council ward that you can comfortably walk round in an afternoon, we now have enormo-wards with 4 councillors. I don't like it one bit and think it has further undermined democracy.
On the other hand, the Scottish Parliament has the Additional Member System. That means FPTP in sensible constituencies with proportionality made up via a top-up list. Drawback is that we have two classes of MSP.
slightly disagree
looking at my ward (Canonmills to Easter Rd Stadium, London Rd to Ferry Rd) it's not *that* enormo; walking round it in an afternoon is surely possible, depending how many pubs are visited en route ... and although i have four councillors, emailing them all is as easy as emailing one
also, the two classes of MSP issue doesn't seem to have thrown up any procedural problems in the last 12 years; it also seems like a far lesser anomaly than Scottish representation at Westminster for example (2010 General Election: Labour, 69.5% of the seats with 42% of the vote; Conservative 1.7% of the seats on 16.7% of the vote)
That's quite a walk though
I am in the mirror ward - Forthside or some similar construction - and it is both large and without any real identity - as opposed to Newhaven, Trinity, Granton etc that it replaced.
It also means that, for example, it's no longer possible for a councillor to attend each Parent Council meeting for the schools in their ward. There's a real reduction in accountability and that does concern me. There's an accountability/proportionality balance with all voting systems but the local level is where I think it should tip towards the former.
I agree that the list MSP thing doesn't seem to have caused many problems. I do get slightly irked at seeing losing constituency candidates magically resurrected via the list vote but perhaps I'm erring on the curmudgeonly...
Time To Move On.
TMFTL.
TMFTL
TMTFL
So does no-one support "first past the post"?
Because I do
This isn't an argument
It's a contradiction.
Edit: very disappointed no-one picked up the Python reference! First occasion the Massive has let me down
I did
but then I'm an individual. We're all individuals
I'm not
and I think Ozmium may have only been here for the two minute argument not the full half-hour
well
he should have said.
What do you mean, don't hit you?
REFFIN' STUPIDITY
As someone who studied politics in my younger days the thought of a referendum being the answer to the issue is stupid.
My most recent experience of the matter was the 'Welsh' one where 65%( the non-voters) of the electorate handed the government of Wales to the political extremists who have done very well out of devolution.
Two days later Clegg stated this enabled the Assembly to raise taxes. Enough said about this nonentity of a politician who has squirmed his way to the top.
Funnily enough the ones making the biggest noise about a 'NO' vote to AV are the Tories. Strange really in Wales where they are a minority party of the people.
Many of today's voters never voted in the referendum of the Common Market and hindsight shows the anticipated riches for Britain only worked in favour of politicians.
I don't think I'm in favour of AV
Although I am in favour of a more proportionate voting system, like the one used for the Euro elections, the devolved parliaments or London Assembly.
The problem with AV is that you run the danger that the person elected won't be the one with the most votes, or even with the second highest number of votes. But it could be the one who would have come third under FPTP but now wins because people put him or her second because it seemed a harmless sort of thing to do. We end up with an MP who fewer people wanted to win than either of the the other two main candidates. That can't be right, surely? At least under the present system, the one with the most votes wins.
There's also the "Give Clegg a Kicking" argument. If the Lib Dems can't deliver voting reform, it does leave their support for the Tories looking even more suicidal. But it would be very irresponsible to decide my vote on immature lines like that;-)
My goodness
A politician admits to lying: http://www.newstatesman.com/blogs/the-staggers/2011/05/campaign-figure-b...
Too fucking late, though.
"No" are going to win, after possibly the most depressingly pisspoor political debate this country's ever had on a single issue.
I'd be less dispirited if I felt everyone had put their case, but it's been such shit, knockabout, point-scoring, mendacious crap from both sides that there's no way the nation's making an informed choice. As Dara O'Briain said on Twitter yesterday, "if you vote NO, because it's sounds complicated or you don't like Clegg, or the Irish are in debt, you're an idiot."
And I'd say that as much to anyone voting YES because they want to stick it to Cameron.
Anything relating to the economy or government of the UK
invariably descends into party political bickering as both parties take sides. Once that happens, all rational argument goes out of window and people fall back on their old party allegiances and score-settling.
It happened in 1973 and it's happened this year. Until we can stop the two mainstream political parties staking out entrenched positions on everything, there'll never be proper debate on the voting system, or anything else for that matter.
As opposed
To No and sticking it to that spineless toad Clegg.
The biggest concession the Tories gave to Clegg was a vote on AV - he will look even more of a twat when the resounding No vote comes in.
Maybe it was a sad way to decide
but seeing as The Daily Mail, The BNP, William Hague and Cameron all wanted a NO vote, it was easy for me to play the Man From Del Monte card.
Going back to the OP
If 500 or so seats rarely change hands, can you explain how AV is going to change that situation? If a candidate gets 50% of the vote in the first round, he or she will win. If they get nearly 50% of the vote, they're very likely to win. This is surely the definition of a safe seat and that won't change under AV.
What will change is the marginals. The 150 seats you claim decide the election. What could happen there is that the person who would have won under FPTP may no longer win. Say, for example, candidate A gets 45%, candidate B gets 35% Candidate C gets 25%. Under FPTP candidate A would win. This is criticised by supporters of AV because 55% of the electorate didn't want him/her. Under AV, when C's second preferences are redistributed, it's possible that A could end up with 49% and B with 51% and thus wins. But we than have an MP who 65% of the electorate didn't want as their first choice. How is this fairer than the example under FPTP where 55% if people didn't want that candidate to win?
AV is no more proportional than FPTP. I agree with Nick (remember when everyone did?) and say it's a miserable little compromise. I'd vote for a proportional system but this isn't it.
Thats the conundrum
I faced. Don't like Cameron and his cronies at all but for me Clegg is despicable and his actions were beyond the pale. The AV debate became extremely muddied and I don't think too many people understood the arguments. Not because the arguments were too complex but because the explanations were too simple.
For me it kind of explains why we only have a referendum in rare instances.
The thing that irks me
about the AR debate is that every single MP was selected, and every single party leader elected, by AV. That's right, including those who are against we proles using it to vote for our MPs.
Regardless of what I think of AV, this does strike me as a tad hypocritical on the part of the 'no' campaign.
Why?
It may be the system under which the individual MPs were selected but it doesn't mean to say that they agree with it.
They do
I haven't heard any MP argue for FPTP for candidate (or leadership) election.
Strictly speaking...
The Tories don't use AV, not really, because they have supplemental votes. If I vote for you as Tory leader, I can go back and vote for Stimpy in the second round of voting. AV doesn't allow that. Yes, there are similarities, but in the end it's a different system. Basically, the Tory system only matches AV when no preferences are changed between rounds and no candidates ever drop out. And that never happens.
I think. Someone better versed than I in parliamentary procedure will probably tell me I'm wrong.
It's an elimination ballot
AV, in other words.
Not quite
It's an exhaustive ballot, not an elimination ballot. It would be fair to say it was a variant of AV, but it's not what we're being offered in the referendum, thankfully. Otherwise elections would take forever.
Indeed
Same principle though - and, more to the point, subject to exactly the same criticisms voiced against AV.
Interesting to note that, had the Tories used FPTP in their elections, Ted Heath would have seen off Margaret Thatcher. Er, hold on...
When I am given the chance to vote for
a change to our electoral system that is actually worth making, I may well give the proposal the benefit of my enfranchisement. As for this sorry half-arsed gesture, it's a 'No' from me.
Anything else'd be like voting to decide whether the band should play 'Jerusalem' rather than 'Nearer My God To Thee' while the officers sort out which toffs get the lifeboat seats.
I wouldn't
hold your breath. I can't see us getting another go at this in my lifetime
it's broke
I'm firmly in the camp with those who believe that things are so broken that they'll need a more radical fix than anything that is ever likely to be offered by the mainstream parties.
I'd reduce the number of MPs at Westminster to around 500, passing legislation to enable around half of those MPs to be members of the general public, all picked from the electoral roll.
Membership of the parliament (for half of the house) would be like an extended period of jury duty. If you got picked, you would have to serve for two years (unless you could prove exceptional circumstances) and your job would be guaranteed, your employer compensated for your absence etc.
The other half of the house would then be made up of representatives of the various political parties, but the influence of those parties would clearly be greatly reduced.
In this way, the costs of government would be reduced, the views of ordinary people would be represented and a genuine notion of public service /active citizenship would be restored to everyday politics.
I think that what has put people off politics is 'career' politicians. The party machinery (both left and right, whatever that means these days) is not designed to encourage discussion, debate, or independent thought.
So ... vote for me. You know it makes sense.
The down-side to this.
Some people simply aren't equipped to do the job.
So it would be
exactly like real life then.
But no improvement.
I really like the Roman idea of leadership-as-genuine-public-service, but at least most MPs are of above average intelligence, for all their other faults. They are likely to understand briefing books, research, general statistics and stuff. Not everyone can.
You'd need a qualification threshold, which would be massively controversial and impossible to do in a way that wouldn't be deeply suspect.
Total, total minefield.
How's about
Edit: Sorry, I just repeated the above post (although I hadn't read it).
Collect the names of all the adults in the country with an agreed qualification (A'-levels for the sake of argument).
Put all the names in a hat and draw out 500 names – there's your parliament. It would be like jury service – after five years, you would get your old job back.
It's an engaging theory
But if my experience of jury service was in any way indicative, it has the perverse effect of making career politicians seem more attractive. Which is something I never thought I'd say.
But that effectively disenfranches half of the population
who don't have A-Levels.
Whether or not you agree with the political views they espouse, there has to be a place in parliament for the man who followed his father down t'pit at 14 and also the self made millionaire who now lives in a mini-Versailles in Essex funded by his second hand car business.
I agree
But I think those kind of people are becoming fewer and fewer. Alan Johnson is the only recent one who springs to mind (working class boy made good).
On the other hand, I'm of the firm belief that we get the politicians we deserve.
But there are plenty of 'working class boys made good'
who currently aren't in parliament. If the '5 years random jury service' model is adopted, they need to be included as well - A-Levels or no.
I know plenty of people
who have academic qualifications who are nobs or morally unkempt. Pick any system and you will get a proportion of idiots that reflect life.
If people would stop voting in line with party politics but actually voted on whether they feel the individuals were capable of doing the job, we might actually get better MP's.
But reflecting on it
It might not be such a bad way of replacing the House of Lords
government of the people, by the people
One of the weaknesses in Bob's argument is that it appears to judge a radical idea in terms of how it would effectively maintain the political status quo. It’s a radical idea precisely because it seeks to dismantle the status quo.
A qualification threshold shouldn’t be a consideration. It’s rather an elitist concept. I refuse to believe that the average person in the street would do a worse job than many of the folk who represent us just now. In a true democracy, the vote of the shop assistant is equal to the vote of the college professor. Why shouldn’t that apply to political representation as well?
We certainly don’t need more laws for 'bright, driven' people to pass. I’d argue that one of the key tasks facing a radicalised parliament would be to repeal literally thousands of useless (and sometimes oppressive) laws.
We need government that does less stuff. And we need whatever ‘stuff’ that government does to be driven not by self-serving political parties, but by something closer to the settled will of the electorate.
Elitism.
Come on, DCE, it's not elitist. It's realistic. One of the things my job teaches you is that some people - not a large number, but non-negligible - don't have the intellectual faculties to understand complex issues. And running a constituency - let alone a country - IS complex, and it's no good pretending anyone can do it.
I've taught kids for whom a G or F at English GCSE is a massively positive, ambitious, genuine result. It would be actively cruel to ask those kids to understand healthcare provision in their constituency, or to operate at a functional level in a parliamentary debate, because they simply wouldn't understand it.
That, by the way, isn't snobbery or elitism. It's simple fact. Intelligence is normally distributed. There are people who don't understand much in the world. There just are. That's not a value judgement. It says nothing sweeping about anyone's personality or goodness or other talents. It just says that some people find complex thought impossible and inaccessible.
Not everyone can do everything. Some people - and again, this is simple fact, not value judgement or snobbery - can't do much of anything.
Also...
..."average person in the street". Yeah - they'd probably be fine. What about the nearly half the population who are below average?
Also, your vision of radicalised small government is demonstrably not shared by any large section of the electorate.
I wish I had more 'ups" to give
Government is a tricky, difficult business.
Jon Stewart made a great point during the US elections that I'm going to shamelessly purloin: I want (or, would want if I still lived in the UK) my MPs to be the best and brightest. Not the average. Shit, not even the 75th percentile.
Are we talking about...
... the intellectual calibre of the Scottish Labour Party here?
the brains trust
I don't agree that MPs should be 'running a constituency'.
MPs should be trying to represent the interests of their constituents.
Nor do I necessarily want my 'best and brightest' to go into politics. I'd prefer them to go into business in order to create jobs and wealth. I'd be reasonably content with politicians who are honest, principled (perhaps even plodding) public servants.
I think we could now have an extremely dull argument about how much 'complex thought' is required of the average MP. I've met several and -to be polite- I've never had the impression that I was in the presence of a stellar intellect.
And I'm fully aware that my vision of a small, radicalised government is not shared by the vast majority of the electorate. So what?
PS Bob
I've just re-read my last post and I hope that that 'so what?' at the end doesn't come across as being a bit snotty.
If we were having this conversation in the pub, I hope my tone of voice would insure that you wouldn't take offence.
Oh, of course.
I often forget that people can't hear my tone of voice or see me smiling when I post, and sometimes when I read my stuff back, I'm horrified by how it sounds. I pretty much *always* intend my posts to be read as if we were having an intense but friendly pub conversation.
No snottiness inferred, or intended by me in my posts, for that matter.
I'd prefer
the 'brightest and best' to create social value - and that isn't necessarily best done via the Golgafrincham B Ark that makes up much of the private sector.
was chatting to a procurement consultant the other night..
.... at a party ... public sector ;-)
i'm getting a bit worried that all i've done over the last few days on here is disagree with Lando Cakes ... no antagonism intended - honest guv - but i'd just say that for the vast majority of people i've met in edinburgh who work for the council, the civil service, the NHS or the major employers in the financial services sector, they generally all just want to pay the mortgage, feed the kids, service the car loan and get away on a break every now and again ... (also win the lottery, retire and stop working) ... am only saying because i think the entrenchment of "public good, private bad" attitudes goes beyond ideology; it's just inaccurate in my experience
what's more, the public sector has its fair share of procurement consultants, assistant HR executives, business development officers and so on and on ... public sector also has binmen, people who fix the streetlights, housing maintenance staff .. .private sector has joiners, electricians, barbers, farmers ...
Note the 'isn't necessarily'
And discussion is more than just disagreement, surely?
To be honest, my main consideration at the moment is whether my ears are ever going to stop ringing after the Drive-by Truckers at the Queens Hall tonight...